GoF ICF Uniform & Exponential

We now extend the goodness-of-fit test based on the characteristic function to uniform and exponential distributions.

Uniform Distribution

For data X = {x1, …, xn} from a (continuous) uniform distribution on (a, b) with pdf

Uniform distribution pdf

we use the estimates

a = min  X         b = max X

Now define

Uniform distribution parameters

Thus

a and b

Define

z-statistics

We use the test statistic

Test statistic I

The critical values Iα of this statistic for 10 ≤ n ≤ 400 are

Critical value alpha .05

Critical value alpha .10

Henceforth, we will abbreviate these critical values as

Table of critical values

If I ≥ Iα, then we reject the null hypothesis that the data come from a uniform distribution.

Example 1: Determine whether the data in column B of Figure 1 are uniformly distributed.

The analysis is also shown in Figure 1. Note that cell C3 contains the formula =(B3-C16)/C17 and cell D3 contains the formula =IF(D$1<$A3,ABS($C3-D$2),””). The other formulas in C3:M12 are filled in as explained in Example 1 of Goodness-of-Fit Test based on the Characteristic Function.

ICF_GOF uniform distribution example

Figure 1 – GoF for uniform distribution

We see from Figure 5 that I = .225592 < .733139 = I.10, and so we can’t reject the null hypothesis that the data is uniformly distributed.

We get the same results as shown in range G14:H17 via the array formula =ICF_GOF(B3:B12,”uniform”,TRUE). See Goodness-of-Fit Test based on the Characteristic Function for a description of the ICF_GOF function and its arguments.

Note that if we test the 10 data elements in B2:B11 of Figure 1 via the formula =ICF_GOF(B2:B11,”uniform”,TRUE), we obtain I-stat = 2.963459 > .869401 = I.05. This is a significant result, providing evidence that the data are not uniformly distributed.

Exponential Distribution

For data X = {x1, …, xn} from an exponential distribution with pdf

Exponential distribution pdf

We use the following MLE parameter estimates

Exponential distribution parameters MLE

The test statistic for this test is

Test statistic I

The critical values when μ is unknown are

Critical values exponential distribution

When μ is known, then use the above table assuming n = 0 (i.e. I.05 = .785 and I.10 = .635).

Example

Example 2: Decide whether the data in B3:B12 of Figure 2 fits an exponential distribution.

This example comes from the referenced textbook. Figure 2 describes the analysis. Note that cell C3 contains the formula =(B3-C16)/C17 and cell D3 contains the formula =IF(D$1<$A3,EXP(-ABS($C3-D$2)),””). The other formulas in C3:M12 are filled in as explained in Example 1.

GoF exponential distribution example

Figure 2 – GoF for Exponential distribution

We see from Figure 2 that I = .238064 < .629674 = I.10, and so we can’t reject the null hypothesis that the data is uniformly distributed with pdf

f(x) = .363901e–.363901(x–3.01)

We get the same results as shown in range G14:H17 via the array formula =ICF_GOF(B3:B12,”expon”,TRUE).

If instead, we know that μ = θ1 = 0, then using the worksheet formula =ICF_GOF(B3:B12,”expon”,TRUE,,0) we see that I = 1.189405 > 785  = I.05, and so p-value < .05, which is a significant result. Here we estimate λ = 1/5.758 = .173671. Thus, we conclude that the data doesn’t follow an exponential distribution, estimated by

f(x) = .173671e–.173671x

Links

↑ GoF tests using characteristic function

Examples Workbook

Click here to download the Excel workbook with the examples described on this webpage.

Reference

Epps, T. W. (2014) Probability and statistical theory for applied researchers
https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=NCs8DQAAQBAJ&pg=PR4&lpg=PR4&dq=Epps,+T.+W.+Probability+and+statistical+theory+for+applied+researchers&source=bl&ots=GxU40vCNHu&sig=ACfU3U0vgZZndBfjMMmqYPQuCXAJf2jrow&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiw5_3R-4KCAxVCgFwKHa2fA384FBDoAXoECAQQAw#v=onepage&q=Epps%2C%20T.%20W.%20Probability%20and%20statistical%20theory%20for%20applied%20researchers&f=false

Leave a Comment