Minimum Expectation Strategy for Winning Wordle in 3 Guesses

Figure 1 summarizes strategies 3 and 4 described in Minimizing Expected Guesses for Wordle.

For each pattern after an initial guess of “trace”, the figure displays the number of targets compatible with that pattern, along with the best second guess for strategies 1 and 2 and the number of targets identified in 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 tries (assuming that you make the appropriate 3rd, 4th and 5th guesses). The weighted sum and expectation for each pattern are also shown. 

Strategy win in three 1Stratgey win in three 2Strategy win in three 3Strategy win in three 4Stratgey win in three 5Strategy win in three 6Strategy win in three 7

Figure 1 – Strategies 3 and 4

Download Table

Click here to download the Excel workbook with the above table.

References

New York Times (2022) Wordle
https://www.nytimes.com/games/wordle/index.html

Scholtes, G. (2022) Wordle dictionary. Github
https://gist.github.com/scholtes/94f3c0303ba6a7768b47583aff36654d

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